On September 28, 2017, the Millennium Challenge Corporation (MCC) issued a contract to International IDG to conduct an Economic Analysis and Independent Evaluation Services in Support of the Mongolia North-South (N-S) Road Project. The N-S Road Project was intended to improve a 176.4 km road section from Choir to the railway crossing outside the city of Sainshand, a segment of the N-S corridor connecting Russia at the northern border and China at the southern border. The evaluation, designed to understand the impact of the MCC-funded N-S Road Project on Mongolia’s economic growth, is an independent performance evaluation.
IDG conducted an independent performance evaluation of MCC’s N-S Road Project in Mongolia six years after the road completion. This performance evaluation adopted a mixed-methods approach with both quantitative and qualitative data collection. Primary data collection included a manual traffic count, an origin-destination survey, an axle load survey, a public transportation user survey, a vehicle operating costs survey, roadside establishment interviews, and a road roughness study. Additionally, key informant interviews were conducted with road maintenance stakeholders and transportation market stakeholders.
The evaluation is comprised of five Evaluation Areas:
The evaluation used a mixed-methods approach, employing both quantitative and qualitative methods for the performance evaluation. The evaluation also used three different data methodologies. The evaluation team employed an economic modelling methods using HDM-4, a software system developed by the World Bank for road management, to model the Economic Rate of Return (ERR) on MCC’s investment in the N-S Road Project. The evaluation team also employed ex-post methodology to gather information about current conditions after the project intervention had been completed, referred to as the endline. Finally, pre-post methodology was used to generate a retroactive baseline and create a comparison with endline conditions at the time of data collection.
IDG conducted a cost-benefit analysis of MCC’s investment in the N-S Road Project allowing MCC to compare the return on road investments consistently across countries and over time within. The evaluation is designed to better inform future road investment decisions for MCC. IDG conducted a cost-benefit analysis of MCC’s investment in the N-S Road Project to model the Economic Rate of Return (ERR) on using Highway Development and Management (HDM-4), a software system developed by the World Bank for road management. IDG conducted an independent performance evaluation of MCC’s N-S Road Project in Mongolia six years after the road completion. This performance evaluation adopted a mixed-methods approach with both quantitative and qualitative data collection. To maximize learning from the evaluation, IDG prepared a briefing note based on the evaluation findings report in English and Mongolian. In addition to the presentations, the brief was aimed at targeting decision-makers within MCC and the Mongolian government and informing their decisions on future investments.Areas of Expertise
Public Financial Management
Cost-benefit Analysis (CBA)
Monitoring, Evaluation, and Learning
Knowledge Management and Learning
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